Friday, August 28, 2009

AFL 2009 Season - Round 22 Predictions

Finally a good week for the AFL tips since I started publishing them - tipping 7 out of 8 correct games, the game I missed being 1st place St Kilda losing to 13th placed North Melbourne. Still, some of the unusual predictions the model threw up were justified, the Western Bulldogs over Geelong in particular.

So here are the final tips for the home-and-away matches for the year, quite a few 50/50 propositions, and again it has tipped the Western Bulldogs as huge favourites in a game the bookies have Collingwood as slight favourites.

Team 1Team 2VenuePr 1Pr 2
West CoastRichmondSubiaco50.2% 47.7%
GeelongFremantleSkilled Stadium64.3% 33.8%
HawthornEssendonMCG52.4% 45.5%
CarltonAdelaideTelstra Dome45.8% 52.1%
SydneyBrisbaneSCG70.1% 28.2%
Port AdelaideNorth MelbourneAAMI Stadium71.9% 26.5%
MelbourneSt KildaMCG2.3% 97.5%
CollingwoodWestern BulldogsTelstra Dome14.4% 84.5%

Total tips for the season: 118 from 168 (70.2%)

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