EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 19 Predictions

The mid-week predictions have been updated with the results of the weekend round of games

Last week we tipped 5 of the 9 results correctly, with the Wigan vs Bolton game being postponed due to weather. This moves us to up 394th place overall on footytips, out of 26,000 tippers there.

There are two rounds in close succession this week, with one round of games played (English time) Saturday & Sunday, and another from Monday to Wednesday.  Obviously the ratings and results of teams in the mid-week games will change slightly based on what happens over the weekend, however I'll put the predictions for both rounds up now and change the mid-week games after the weekend.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
26/12/2009	Arsenal	Aston Villa	64%	22%	14%
26/12/2009	Birmingham City	Chelsea	10%	18%	72%
26/12/2009	Burnley	Bolton Wanderers	33%	30%	36%
26/12/2009	Fulham	Tottenham Hotspur	39%	30%	31%
26/12/2009	Hull City	Manchester United	7%	14%	79%
26/12/2009	Liverpool	Wolverhampton Wanderers	88%	9%	4%
26/12/2009	Manchester City	Stoke City	59%	25%	17%
26/12/2009	Sunderland	Everton	25%	29%	46%
27/12/2009	West Ham United	Portsmouth	49%	28%	23%
27/12/2009	Wigan Athletic	Blackburn Rovers	41%	30%	29%

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
28/12/2009	Blackburn Rovers	Sunderland	53%	27%	20%
28/12/2009	Chelsea	Fulham	80%	13%	7%
28/12/2009	Everton	Burnley	75%	16%	9%
28/12/2009	Stoke City	Birmingham City	44%	29%	26%
28/12/2009	Tottenham Hotspur	West Ham United	61%	23%	16%
28/12/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Manchester City	21%	28%	51%
29/12/2009	Aston Villa	Liverpool	30%	30%	40%
29/12/2009	Bolton Wanderers	Hull City	57%	25%	17%
30/12/2009	Portsmouth	Arsenal	13%	22%	65%
30/12/2009	Manchester United	Wigan Athletic	87%	9%	4%

A-League 2009/10 Season - Round 20 Predictions

We tipped the first 3 games of last round incorrectly then got the next 3 right, so we move into 81st position overall on footytips.  Quite bizzarre as I'm tipping 45% for the season in the A-League, yet I'm higher up the ladder than I am for EPL where I'm tipping 55% - just goes to show how tough it is to get results correct in the A-League.

Back to a normal 5 games this round, with the 5th game being played on Thursday, New Year's Eve.  This week we tip 2 away teams, including Newcastle who have just won 4 games in a row, the first team to do that in the A-League this season - good to see that the model has picked up on this form as it is so hard to come by.

Date	Team 1	Team 2	Venue	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T2
26/12/2009	Gold Coast	Queensland Roar	Skilled Park	40%	26%	32%
26/12/2009	Perth Glory	Newcastle Jets	Members Equity Stadium	36%	27%	37%
27/12/2009	Sydney FC	Adelaide United	Sydney Football Stadium	47%	26%	28%
27/12/2009	North Queensland	Melbourne Victory	Dairy Farmers Stadium	30%	26%	44%
31/12/2009	Central Coast Mariners	New Zealand	Bluetongue Stadium	48%	25%	26%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 15 Predictions

I actually missed two rounds of posting EPL predictions while away, and it was a mixed bag as far as the tips went - the weekend matches I managed just 1 correct result from 10, however this turned around mid week in tipping 7 from 8.  These results saw us move back into the top 2% overall footytips.

A fairly standard week ahead this week tipping-wise, the away teams we have gone for this week are the big 3 teams playing away, and up-and-coming Tottenham

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
19/12/2009	Arsenal	Hull City	87%	9%	4%
19/12/2009	Aston Villa	Stoke City	66%	21%	13%
19/12/2009	Blackburn Rovers	Tottenham Hotspur	32%	30%	38%
19/12/2009	Everton	Birmingham City	63%	23%	14%
19/12/2009	Fulham	Manchester United	14%	22%	64%
19/12/2009	Manchester City	Sunderland	63%	23%	14%
20/12/2009	Portsmouth	Liverpool	13%	22%	65%
20/12/2009	West Ham United	Chelsea	10%	19%	71%
20/12/2009	Wigan Athletic	Bolton Wanderers	44%	30%	27%
21/12/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Burnley	46%	29%	25%

A-League 2009/10 Season - Round 19 Predictions

Apologies for not putting up tips for the last round of A-League, as it transpired drinking pints of Guinness in Dublin seemed more appealing than updating my free blog. Strangley enough I managed to tip 5 out of the 6 results for round 18 correctly, moving me into 88th position overall (out of 31,000+ tippers) on footytips.  Another decent bet on North Queensland got up as well, as they managed to account for North Queensland at home.

Another 6 matches this round, and that will be the case for the next few rounds.  We've gone back to tipping all home teams this week, let's home some home form starts to come through.

Date	Team 1	Team 2	Venue	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T2
18/12/2009	Adelaide United	New Zealand	Hindmarsh Stadium	50%	25%	25%
19/12/2009	Central Coast Mariners	Queensland Roar	Bluetongue Stadium	40%	27%	34%
19/12/2009	Melbourne Victory	Sydney FC	Telstra Dome	50%	25%	25%
20/12/2009	Newcastle Jets	North Queensland	EnergyAustralia Stadium	43%	26%	30%
20/12/2009	Gold Coast	Perth Glory	Skilled Park	49%	25%	26%
23/12/2009	Sydney FC	Central Coast Mariners	Sydney Football Stadium	46%	26%	28%

Total tips for the season: 41 from 90 (46%)

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 13 Predictions

Somewhat below average round last week in the EPL, only managing 4 correct results.  Still, this was just above the footytips average of 3.9 and we still sit in the top 3% of all tippers there.

The interesting game of the week would have to be Manchester City hosting Chelsea.  City have drawn 7 games in a row and have so far failed to live up to their pre-season hype - no doubt the probs below will suggest a bet on Chelsea.  This game will test whether City are the real deal - then again, they may be happy to let Chelsea win and make it that little bit easier to win the Premiership over City's bitter cross-town rivals.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
5/12/2009	Arsenal	Stoke City	80%	14%	7%
5/12/2009	Aston Villa	Hull City	74%	17%	9%
5/12/2009	Blackburn Rovers	Liverpool	16%	24%	61%
5/12/2009	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur	45%	29%	25%
5/12/2009	Fulham	Sunderland	58%	25%	17%
5/12/2009	Manchester City	Chelsea	14%	23%	63%
5/12/2009	Portsmouth	Burnley	48%	28%	23%
5/12/2009	West Ham United	Manchester United	12%	20%	68%
6/12/2009	Wigan Athletic	Birmingham City	46%	29%	25%
6/12/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Bolton Wanderers	40%	30%	30%

Total tips for the season: 75 from 139 (54%)

A-League 2009/10 Season - Round 17 Predictions

A good week last week, tipping 3 of the 5 results correctly and back to the top 1% of all tippers on footytips.  Also a very good week for betting as bets we placed on the last 4 games of the round and they all managed to win, including a handy win for Newcastle over Sydney at odds of $5.50.

This week a big rarity occurs in the we've tipped 2 away teams.  Not much on the betting side this week, a small bet on North Queensland being the only amount of note.

Date	Team 1	Team 2	Venue	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T2
4/12/2009	New Zealand	Melbourne Victory	Westpac Stadium	27%	25%	48%
4/12/2009	Adelaide United	Newcastle Jets	Hindmarsh Stadium	45%	26%	29%
5/12/2009	Sydney FC	North Queensland	Sydney Football Stadium	46%	26%	29%
5/12/2009	Gold Coast	Central Coast Mariners	Skilled Park	42%	26%	32%
6/12/2009	Perth Glory	Queensland Roar	Members Equity Stadium	35%	27%	39%

Total tips for the season: 34 from 79 (43%)