EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 31 Predictions

Last week saw us tip 7 from 11 and move up to 457th place overall on the footytips ladder.

A mammoth week of games, we 4 games played yesterday morning andanother 10 before the week is out.  No major suprprises here, the only real eyebrow raiser is Aston villa being rated so poorly against Chelsea, but it seems to be in line with what the bookmakers are showing so what can you do?

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
24/03/2010	Aston Villa	Sunderland	70%	19%	11%
24/03/2010	Manchester City	Everton	41%	30%	29%
24/03/2010	Portsmouth	Chelsea	9%	17%	74%
27/03/2010	Blackburn Rovers	Birmingham City	47%	29%	24%
27/03/2010	Birmingham City	Arsenal	14%	22%	64%
27/03/2010	Chelsea	Aston Villa	72%	18%	10%
27/03/2010	Hull City	Fulham	26%	29%	44%
27/03/2010	Tottenham Hotspur	Portsmouth	72%	18%	10%
27/03/2010	West Ham United	Stoke City	45%	29%	25%
27/03/2010	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Everton	20%	27%	53%
27/03/2010	Bolton Wanderers	Manchester United	9%	17%	74%
27/03/2010	Burnley	Blackburn Rovers	31%	30%	38%
28/03/2010	Liverpool	Sunderland	81%	13%	6%
29/03/2010	Manchester City	Wigan Athletic	68%	20%	12%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 30 Predictions

Last week we tipped 7 from 11 results correct, but despite the better than expected return we drop slightly to 574th place overall on the footytips ladder.

This week sees another 11 games with West Ham and Wolverhampton playing a catch-up game mid week.  Should I remember beforehandthen I'll update the predictions for this game after the weekend.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
20/03/2010	Aston Villa	Wolverhampton Wanderers	74%	17%	9%
20/03/2010	Everton	Bolton Wanderers	70%	19%	11%
20/03/2010	Portsmouth	Hull City	54%	27%	20%
20/03/2010	Stoke City	Tottenham Hotspur	28%	30%	42%
20/03/2010	Sunderland	Birmingham City	39%	30%	31%
20/03/2010	Wigan Athletic	Burnley	51%	28%	22%
20/03/2010	Arsenal	West Ham United	81%	13%	6%
21/03/2010	Manchester United	Liverpool	58%	25%	17%
21/03/2010	Fulham	Manchester City	37%	30%	33%
21/03/2010	Blackburn Rovers	Chelsea	11%	20%	69%
23/03/2010	West Ham United	Wolverhampton Wanderers	56%	26%	18%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 29 Predictions

We went worse than expected last week, only getting 4 of the 8 results correct and slipping to about 500th on the footytips ladder.

This week sees 11 games, with Wigan and Aston Villa playing a catch-up game mid-week.  I'll update the probs for this game after the weekend matches.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
13/02/2010	Tottenham Hotspur	Blackburn Rovers	63%	23%	14%
13/02/2010	Birmingham City	Everton	27%	30%	43%
13/02/2010	Bolton Wanderers	Wigan Athletic	46%	29%	25%
13/02/2010	Burnley	Wolverhampton Wanderers	44%	30%	27%
13/02/2010	Chelsea	West Ham United	84%	11%	5%
13/02/2010	Stoke City	Aston Villa	27%	30%	44%
13/02/2010	Hull City	Arsenal	9%	16%	75%
14/02/2010	Manchester United	Fulham	81%	13%	6%
14/02/2010	Sunderland	Manchester City	26%	29%	45%
15/02/2010	Liverpool	Portsmouth	82%	12%	6%
16/02/2010	Wigan Athletic	Aston Villa	22%	28%	50%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 28 Predictions

A pretty good week last week in the EPL in tipping 6 from 9.  Unfortunately for some stupid reason I didn't enetr in my tip of Liverpool to beat Blackburn, meaning we didn't get the point for it - so officially on footytips I'm ranked 468th though in reality I should be a little higher.

It seems like a week of catch-up game as there are games everyday spread from Saturday through to Wednesday. 

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
6/03/2010	Arsenal	Burnley	87%	9%	4%
6/03/2010	West Ham United	Bolton Wanderers	53%	27%	22%
6/03/2010	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Manchester United	8%	15%	77%
7/03/2010	Everton	Hull City	77%	15%	8%
8/03/2010	Wigan Athletic	Liverpool	12%	22%	67%
9/03/2010	Portsmouth	Birmingham City	40%	30%	30%
9/03/2010	Sunderland	Bolton Wanderers	43%	30%	27%
10/03/2010	Burnley	Stoke City	34%	31%	35%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 27 Predictions

Last week we tipped as expected, getting 7 of the 12 results correct, and drop slightly on the footytips ladder to 420th overall. 

This week saw a mid-week game which Manchester United won easily as expected, and 8 games over the weekend.  The only real surprise being how high we rate Chelsea over Man City, though the bookmakers have priced them pretty close to how I rate them.  Also Fulham I've tipped over Sunderland, who are well favoured with the bookies.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
23/02/2010	Manchester United	West Ham United	83%	11%	5%
27/02/2010	Birmingham City	Wigan Athletic	52%	27%	21%
27/02/2010	Bolton Wanderers	Wolverhampton Wanderers	50%	28%	22%
27/02/2010	Burnley	Portsmouth	41%	30%	29%
27/02/2010	Chelsea	Manchester City	78%	15%	7%
27/02/2010	Stoke City	Arsenal	15%	24%	61%
28/02/2010	Liverpool	Blackburn Rovers	78%	15%	7%
28/02/2010	Sunderland	Fulham	31%	30%	38%
28/02/2010	Tottenham Hotspur	Everton	43%	30%	28%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 26 Predictions

EDIT - weekend matches now updated after mid-week games

Last week we tipped slightly worse than expected, getting 5 of the 10 results correct - yet we moved up slightly to 387th overall on footytips.

this weeks sees 12 games overall, with a couple of mid-week fixtures scheduled for games postponed earlier in the season - we'll update the weekend predictions after the mid-week games have been played.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
16/02/2010	Stoke City	Manchester City	32%	30%	37%
17/02/2010	Wigan Athletic	Bolton Wanderers	45%	29%	26%
20/02/2010	Arsenal	Sunderland	85%	11%	5%
20/02/2010	Everton	Manchester United	21%	27%	52%
20/02/2010	Portsmouth	Stoke City	41%	30%	29%
20/02/2010	West Ham United	Hull City	60%	24%	16%
20/02/2010	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Chelsea	8%	15%	78%
21/02/2010	Blackburn Rovers	Bolton Wanderers	50%	28%	22%
21/02/2010	Aston Villa	Burnley	74%	17%	9%
21/02/2010	Fulham	Birmingham City	53%	27%	20%
21/02/2010	Manchester City	Liverpool	25%	29%	46%
21/02/2010	Wigan Athletic	Tottenham Hotspur	26%	29%	45%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 25 Predictions

Apologies for missing the overnight games, I had no idea they were on til late at night.  For the record we had 2 of the overnight games tipped correctly.

Last week we tipped pretty much on average, getting 6 of the 11 games correct and holding level on footytips.

The remaining games this week seem fairly straightforward - perhaps surprising that everton are rated as high as they are - we'll soon find out.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
9/02/2010	Manchester City	Bolton Wanderers	63%	23%	14%
9/02/2010	Fulham	Burnley	62%	23%	15%
9/02/2010	Portsmouth	Sunderland	48%	28%	23%
9/02/2010	Wigan Athletic	Stoke City	41%	30%	29%
10/02/2010	Arsenal	Liverpool	46%	29%	25%
10/02/2010	West Ham United	Birmingham City	45%	29%	25%
10/02/2010	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Tottenham Hotspur	22%	28%	51%
10/02/2010	Aston Villa	Manchester United	21%	27%	52%
10/02/2010	Blackburn Rovers	Hull City	58%	25%	17%
10/02/2010	Everton	Chelsea	19%	26%	55%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 24 Predictions

A pretty poor round, only managing to get 4 of the 11 results correct and sliding to 373rd place on footytips.  For some reason the Hull - Chelsea Tuesday game took over the place of the originally scheduled West Ham - Wolverhampton game - no great concern though as it ended in a draw so we wouldn't have got that tip regardless.

This week sees another 11 games played starting with Fulham against Pompey overnight.  Hopefully a week to bounce back and make up for some of the lost ground.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
3/02/2010	Fulham	Portsmouth	56%	26%	18%
6/02/2010	Bolton Wanderers	Fulham	37%	30%	33%
6/02/2010	Burnley	West Ham United	34%	31%	35%
6/02/2010	Hull City	Manchester City	22%	28%	51%
6/02/2010	Liverpool	Everton	64%	22%	14%
6/02/2010	Manchester United	Portsmouth	88%	8%	4%
6/02/2010	Stoke City	Blackburn Rovers	43%	30%	27%
6/02/2010	Sunderland	Wigan Athletic	44%	30%	27%
6/02/2010	Tottenham Hotspur	Aston Villa	44%	29%	26%
7/02/2010	Birmingham City	Wolverhampton Wanderers	56%	26%	18%
7/02/2010	Chelsea	Arsenal	56%	26%	18%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 23 Predictions

Last week we tipped better than expected tipping 5 of the 8 games correctly, yet we dropped down to 271th place overall on footytips.

This weeks sees 11 games, with games on every day from Saturday through to Tuesday - Sunday's game between Arsenal and Manchester United could go a long way to deciding who wins the Premiership

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
30/01/2010	Birmingham City	Tottenham Hotspur	30%	30%	40%
30/01/2010	Burnley	Chelsea	7%	14%	79%
30/01/2010	Fulham	Aston Villa	35%	31%	34%
30/01/2010	Hull City	Wolverhampton Wanderers	42%	30%	28%
30/01/2010	Liverpool	Bolton Wanderers	81%	13%	6%
30/01/2010	West Ham United	Blackburn Rovers	47%	29%	24%
30/01/2010	Wigan Athletic	Everton	25%	29%	45%
31/01/2010	Arsenal	Manchester United	39%	30%	30%
31/01/2010	Manchester City	Portsmouth	63%	23%	14%
1/02/2010	Sunderland	Stoke City	40%	30%	29%
2/02/2010	West Ham United	Wolverhampton Wanderers	57%	25%	17%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 22 Predictions

It was a good week for us last week in the EPL, getting 7 of the 11 results correct.  So while we dropped out of the 1% range in the A-Lague standings, we move up into it for the EPL, standingth overall on footytips.

This week we have 9 games, most of them seem clear-cut so with any luck we'll climb even higher on the ladder.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
23/01/2010	Manchester United	Hull City	91%	6%	3%
26/01/2010	Bolton Wanderers	Burnley	51%	27%	21%
26/01/2010	Portsmouth	West Ham United	41%	30%	29%
26/01/2010	Tottenham Hotspur	Fulham	55%	26%	19%
26/01/2010	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Liverpool	11%	19%	70%
27/01/2010	Aston Villa	Arsenal	25%	29%	45%
27/01/2010	Blackburn Rovers	Wigan Athletic	50%	28%	22%
27/01/2010	Chelsea	Birmingham City	86%	10%	5%
27/01/2010	Everton	Sunderland	69%	20%	11%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 21 Predictions

A weather-interrupted round saw only 4 of the 12 scheduled games take place, and us only being good enough to get 1 of those games correct, and consequently drop down to 460th place overall on footytips.

Another 12 games within the next week, and with any luck they'll all get under way.  The only selection to raise eyebrows is Everton having twice the chance to win that Manchester City does.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
16/01/2010	Chelsea	Sunderland	89%	8%	3%
16/01/2010	Everton	Manchester City	48%	29%	24%
16/01/2010	Manchester United	Burnley	89%	8%	3%
16/01/2010	Portsmouth	Birmingham City	41%	30%	29%
16/01/2010	Stoke City	Liverpool	15%	23%	62%
16/01/2010	Tottenham Hotspur	Hull City	76%	16%	8%
16/01/2010	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Wigan Athletic	43%	30%	28%
17/01/2010	Aston Villa	West Ham United	63%	23%	14%
17/01/2010	Blackburn Rovers	Fulham	36%	31%	34%
17/01/2010	Bolton Wanderers	Arsenal	13%	22%	65%
20/01/2010	Arsenal	Bolton Wanderers	83%	12%	6%
20/01/2010	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur	65%	22%	13%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 20 Predictions

The weekend predictions have been updated with the results of the Stoke vs Fulham game.  The Arsenal vs Bolton game was postponed due to weather

We tipped a decent 12 results from the 20 games over the New Year period, and hold level on 396th place overall on footytips.

This round sees 12 games played, with a couple of midweek games leading into the full 10 on the weekend.  The probs for the weekend games will be updated after the midweek games have been played, but don't expect too much to change for the 4 teams playing twice.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
5/01/2010	Stoke City	Fulham	33%	30%	36%
6/01/2010	Arsenal	Bolton Wanderers	83%	11%	5%
9/01/2010	Birmingham City	Manchester United	11%	20%	69%
9/01/2010	Burnley	Stoke City	39%	30%	31%
9/01/2010	Fulham	Portsmouth	59%	25%	17%
9/01/2010	Wigan Athletic	Aston Villa	24%	29%	47%
9/01/2010	Arsenal	Everton	68%	20%	12%
9/01/2010	Hull City	Chelsea	6%	13%	81%
9/01/2010	Sunderland	Bolton Wanderers	41%	30%	29%
10/01/2010	West Ham United	Wolverhampton Wanderers	56%	26%	18%
10/01/2010	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur	65%	22%	13%
11/01/2010	Manchester City	Blackburn Rovers	59%	24%	16%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 19 Predictions

The mid-week predictions have been updated with the results of the weekend round of games

Last week we tipped 5 of the 9 results correctly, with the Wigan vs Bolton game being postponed due to weather. This moves us to up 394th place overall on footytips, out of 26,000 tippers there.

There are two rounds in close succession this week, with one round of games played (English time) Saturday & Sunday, and another from Monday to Wednesday.  Obviously the ratings and results of teams in the mid-week games will change slightly based on what happens over the weekend, however I'll put the predictions for both rounds up now and change the mid-week games after the weekend.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
26/12/2009	Arsenal	Aston Villa	64%	22%	14%
26/12/2009	Birmingham City	Chelsea	10%	18%	72%
26/12/2009	Burnley	Bolton Wanderers	33%	30%	36%
26/12/2009	Fulham	Tottenham Hotspur	39%	30%	31%
26/12/2009	Hull City	Manchester United	7%	14%	79%
26/12/2009	Liverpool	Wolverhampton Wanderers	88%	9%	4%
26/12/2009	Manchester City	Stoke City	59%	25%	17%
26/12/2009	Sunderland	Everton	25%	29%	46%
27/12/2009	West Ham United	Portsmouth	49%	28%	23%
27/12/2009	Wigan Athletic	Blackburn Rovers	41%	30%	29%

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
28/12/2009	Blackburn Rovers	Sunderland	53%	27%	20%
28/12/2009	Chelsea	Fulham	80%	13%	7%
28/12/2009	Everton	Burnley	75%	16%	9%
28/12/2009	Stoke City	Birmingham City	44%	29%	26%
28/12/2009	Tottenham Hotspur	West Ham United	61%	23%	16%
28/12/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Manchester City	21%	28%	51%
29/12/2009	Aston Villa	Liverpool	30%	30%	40%
29/12/2009	Bolton Wanderers	Hull City	57%	25%	17%
30/12/2009	Portsmouth	Arsenal	13%	22%	65%
30/12/2009	Manchester United	Wigan Athletic	87%	9%	4%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 15 Predictions

I actually missed two rounds of posting EPL predictions while away, and it was a mixed bag as far as the tips went - the weekend matches I managed just 1 correct result from 10, however this turned around mid week in tipping 7 from 8.  These results saw us move back into the top 2% overall footytips.

A fairly standard week ahead this week tipping-wise, the away teams we have gone for this week are the big 3 teams playing away, and up-and-coming Tottenham

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
19/12/2009	Arsenal	Hull City	87%	9%	4%
19/12/2009	Aston Villa	Stoke City	66%	21%	13%
19/12/2009	Blackburn Rovers	Tottenham Hotspur	32%	30%	38%
19/12/2009	Everton	Birmingham City	63%	23%	14%
19/12/2009	Fulham	Manchester United	14%	22%	64%
19/12/2009	Manchester City	Sunderland	63%	23%	14%
20/12/2009	Portsmouth	Liverpool	13%	22%	65%
20/12/2009	West Ham United	Chelsea	10%	19%	71%
20/12/2009	Wigan Athletic	Bolton Wanderers	44%	30%	27%
21/12/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Burnley	46%	29%	25%

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 13 Predictions

Somewhat below average round last week in the EPL, only managing 4 correct results.  Still, this was just above the footytips average of 3.9 and we still sit in the top 3% of all tippers there.

The interesting game of the week would have to be Manchester City hosting Chelsea.  City have drawn 7 games in a row and have so far failed to live up to their pre-season hype - no doubt the probs below will suggest a bet on Chelsea.  This game will test whether City are the real deal - then again, they may be happy to let Chelsea win and make it that little bit easier to win the Premiership over City's bitter cross-town rivals.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
5/12/2009	Arsenal	Stoke City	80%	14%	7%
5/12/2009	Aston Villa	Hull City	74%	17%	9%
5/12/2009	Blackburn Rovers	Liverpool	16%	24%	61%
5/12/2009	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur	45%	29%	25%
5/12/2009	Fulham	Sunderland	58%	25%	17%
5/12/2009	Manchester City	Chelsea	14%	23%	63%
5/12/2009	Portsmouth	Burnley	48%	28%	23%
5/12/2009	West Ham United	Manchester United	12%	20%	68%
6/12/2009	Wigan Athletic	Birmingham City	46%	29%	25%
6/12/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Bolton Wanderers	40%	30%	30%

Total tips for the season: 75 from 139 (54%)

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 12 Predictions

We tipped just below average last round, getting 6 of the 12 results correct.  The average on footytips was just 2.6 tips, however the average towards the top of the leaderboard must have been higher as we dropped a couple hundred places - we still sit in the top 3% of all tippers though.

Back to 10 games this round, all looks pretty normal.  A bit suprirsed Liverpool are rated so highly away to Everton, although it is a local derby so maybe the home ground advantage won't be as strong as normal.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
28/11/2009	Aston Villa	Tottenham Hotspur	49%	29%	24%
28/11/2009	Blackburn Rovers	Stoke City	47%	28%	23%
28/11/2009	Fulham	Bolton Wanderers	57%	25%	17%
28/11/2009	Manchester City	Hull City	70%	19%	11%
28/11/2009	Portsmouth	Manchester United	9%	17%	74%
28/11/2009	West Ham United	Burnley	55%	26%	19%
28/11/2009	Wigan Athletic	Sunderland	45%	29%	25%
29/11/2009	Arsenal	Chelsea	36%	31%	34%
29/11/2009	Everton	Liverpool	26%	29%	45%
29/11/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Birmingham City	42%	30%	28%

Total tips for the season: 71 from 129 (55%)

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 12 Predictions

A decent wek last round, getting 6 of the 10 results correct, against a site average of 2.9 on footytips.  This puts us within the top 2% of all tippers there at the moment.  A small collect on Everton over West Ham more than making up for backing Fulham to beat Wigan.

This round sees 12 games being played, with a catch-up game for Fulham and Blackburn, and the Hull vs Everton game being brought forward from later in the season.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
21/11/2009	Birmingham City	Fulham	34%	31%	36%
21/11/2009	Burnley	Aston Villa	24%	29%	47%
21/11/2009	Chelsea	Wolverhampton Wanderers	90%	7%	3%
21/11/2009	Hull City	West Ham United	29%	30%	41%
21/11/2009	Liverpool	Manchester City	72%	18%	10%
21/11/2009	Manchester United	Everton	74%	17%	9%
21/11/2009	Sunderland	Arsenal	12%	20%	68%
22/11/2009	Bolton Wanderers	Blackburn Rovers	42%	30%	28%
22/11/2009	Stoke City	Portsmouth	48%	28%	23%
22/11/2009	Tottenham Hotspur	Wigan Athletic	63%	23%	14%
25/11/2009	Hull City	Everton	17%	25%	59%
25/11/2009	Fulham	Blackburn Rovers	51%	28%	21%

Total tips for the season: 65 from 117 (56%)

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 11 Predictions

Struggling to get an internet connection in the hotel room at the moment, so while I have 5 minutes in an internet cafe I'll throw up who I've tipped for this week in the EPL and hopefully get the chance to update with probabilities before too long.  Stay tuned:

Tips

• Aston Villa
• Blackburn
• Manchester City
• Tottenham
• Arsenal
• Stoke
• Everton
• Wigan
• Chelsea
• Liverpool

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 10 Predictions

EDIT - Given that both West Ham and Aston Villa drew over the weekend, their ratings only changed slightly, and the match probability for tomorrows game has barely changed from the posted last week.

On the surface a poor week last week, only getting 3 correct results for the round.  However the average on footytips was only 2 tips, so we actually improved the overall position from the top 5% to within the top 3%.  Also a nice week on the betting as wins on Birgmingham and Liverpool saw a return for the week of around 60%.

11 games in total to report on in the next week - the extra due to a catch-up being played between West Ham and Aston Villa which was originally meant to happen earlier in the season.  Obviously the rating for these 2 teams will change after they play their weekend matches and I will try to update this before Wednesday - however it would take something like a 10-goal result in either of their prior games for the tip to change from Villa to West Ham.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
31/10/2009	Arsenal	Tottenham Hotspur	70%	19%	11%
31/10/2009	Bolton Wanderers	Chelsea	11%	19%	70%
31/10/2009	Burnley	Hull City	53%	27%	20%
31/10/2009	Everton	Aston Villa	46%	29%	25%
31/10/2009	Fulham	Liverpool	16%	24%	60%
31/10/2009	Manchester United	Blackburn Rovers	85%	10%	5%
31/10/2009	Portsmouth	Wigan Athletic	42%	30%	28%
31/10/2009	Stoke City	Wolverhampton Wanderers	54%	27%	19%
31/10/2009	Sunderland	West Ham United	39%	30%	30%
1/11/2009	Birmingham City	Manchester City	29%	30%	41%
4/11/2009	West Ham United	Aston Villa	31%	30%	39%

Total tips for the season: 54 from 96 (56%)

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 9 Predictions

A slightly better than average week in the Premier League, managing to get 6 of the results correct.  This puts us within the top 5% of all tippers on footytips.

Business as usual this week, the most interesting match-up looks to be Liverpool vs Man Utd.  The model has tipped Liverpool slightly in front due to the home-ground advantage, and probably not enough time has lapsed for the injuries to their two best players - Gerrard and Torres - to be reflected in the model's ratings yet.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Pr Home	Pr Draw	Pr Away
24/10/2009	Birmingham City	Sunderland	43%	30%	27%
24/10/2009	Bolton Wanderers	Everton	27%	30%	43%
24/10/2009	Burnley	Wigan Athletic	42%	30%	28%
24/10/2009	Chelsea	Blackburn Rovers	84%	11%	5%
24/10/2009	Hull City	Portsmouth	36%	31%	34%
24/10/2009	Manchester City	Fulham	53%	27%	20%
25/10/2009	Tottenham Hotspur	Stoke City	62%	23%	15%
25/10/2009	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Aston Villa	23%	28%	49%
25/10/2009	Liverpool	Manchester United	37%	30%	33%
25/10/2009	West Ham United	Arsenal	15%	24%	61%

Total tips for the season: 51 from 86 (59%)