Business as usual this week, the most interesting match-up looks to be Liverpool vs Man Utd. The model has tipped Liverpool slightly in front due to the home-ground advantage, and probably not enough time has lapsed for the injuries to their two best players - Gerrard and Torres - to be reflected in the model's ratings yet.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Pr Home | Pr Draw | Pr Away |
| 24/10/2009 | Birmingham City | Sunderland | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| 24/10/2009 | Bolton Wanderers | Everton | 27% | 30% | 43% |
| 24/10/2009 | Burnley | Wigan Athletic | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| 24/10/2009 | Chelsea | Blackburn Rovers | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| 24/10/2009 | Hull City | Portsmouth | 36% | 31% | 34% |
| 24/10/2009 | Manchester City | Fulham | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| 25/10/2009 | Tottenham Hotspur | Stoke City | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| 25/10/2009 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Aston Villa | 23% | 28% | 49% |
| 25/10/2009 | Liverpool | Manchester United | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| 25/10/2009 | West Ham United | Arsenal | 15% | 24% | 61% |
Total tips for the season: 51 from 86 (59%)
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