A few points worth considering regarding the A-League model in general:
- The new teams of Gold Coast and North Queensland are rated as an average team as they enter the league - that is, there will be better and worse rated teams than these two at the start of this season. As they play more games their ratings will update accordingly and more accurately reflect where they sit with regards to other teams, so be aware of this for the first few rounds
- In general the home ground advantage isn't as significant as it would be in say the English Premier League.
- There is a lot more variability in the A-league than more well-established leagues. It's rare for teams to perform consisently well throughout the season - and moreso from season-to-season. Take Melbourne for example - in the four seasons so far they have finished 7th, winner, 5th and winner again. Newcastle won in 2008 yet finished last in 2009.
- Given this, it's proven hard to make a profit betting on the A-League. Analysis has shown that only betting on home teams with a significant edge over the bookmaker's price was profitable last season
As the season goes on I'll update how many games have been tipped correctly and try and compare against any expert tipsters who publish there selections. I'm a bit wary of posting odds and betting results as like I've said A-League is just to volatile to bet on at the moment.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Venue | Prob T1 | Prob Draw | Prob T2 |
| Thu, Aug 06, 2009 | Melbourne Victory | Central Coast Mariners | Telstra Dome, Melbourne | 51.2% | 24.7% | 24.1% |
| Fri, Aug 07, 2009 | Adelaide United | Perth Glory | Hindmarsh Stadium | 49.9% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Sat, Aug 08, 2009 | North Queensland | Sydney FC | Dairy Farmers Stadium | 43.0% | 26.4% | 30.7% |
| Sat, Aug 08, 2009 | Queensland Roar | Gold Coast | Suncorp Stadium | 47.9% | 25.5% | 26.6% |
| Sun, Aug 09, 2009 | Newcastle Jets | New Zealand | EnergyAustralia Stadium | 43.7% | 26.3% | 30.0% |
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