EPL 2010/11 Season - Week 10 Predictions

Last week was more or less and average week, getting 6 or the 10 tips correct.  As it stood the suggested bets of Chelsea and Liverpool both won, I should have stuck by the model it seems.

No surprises this week, it appears a pretty obvious round for tipping.  A few bets have been thrown up though - namely on Aston Villa, Everton, Fulham, and Manchester United.

Team 1	Team 2	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T
Arsenal	West Ham United	82%	12%	6%
Aston Villa	Birmingham City	62%	23%	14%
Blackburn Rovers	Chelsea	12%	21%	67%
Blackpool	West Bromwich Albion	39%	31%	31%
Bolton Wanderers	Liverpool	21%	28%	51%
Everton	Stoke City	67%	21%	12%
Fulham	Wigan Athletic	59%	25%	16%
Manchester United	Tottenham Hotspur	73%	18%	10%
Newcastle United	Sunderland	44%	30%	26%
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Manchester City	22%	28%	49%

A-League 2010-11 Season - Week 12 Predictions

In a shortened round we tipped 2 for 4 game, and held our position in the top 3% on footytips.

This week we're again tipping all home teams in an extended round of 7 games, although I've had to make some minor adjustments to the model given that two teams are hosting matches on neutral ground.  So Central Coast at Sydney and Newcastle at Port Macquarie I'm treating as not quite a home team, but definitely not away - since they're expected to have the bulk of the crowd behind them and not have to travel as far as their opponents. 

On the betting front we'll likely be having bets on Victory, Sydney FC and North Queensland.

Team 1	Team 2	Venue	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T
Melbourne Victory	Adelaide United	Etihad Stadium	50%	25%	26%
Central Coast Mariners	Perth Glory	Sydney Football Stadium	43%	26%	31%
Sydney FC	Queensland Roar	Sydney Football Stadium	47%	25%	28%
Newcastle Jets	Melbourne Heart	Port Macquarie	38%	26%	35%
North Queensland	Gold Coast	Dairy Farmers Stadium	42%	26%	32%
New Zealand	Queensland Roar	Westpac Stadium	38%	26%	35%
Perth Glory	Melbourne Heart	nib Stadium	45%	26%	29%

EPL 2010/11 Season - Week 9 Predictions

Last week we got 5 of the results correct, the 5 we missed all being draws.  So even though we lost one on Manchetser United's draw, we managed to tip everton at home against a flatering Liverpool.  We managed to place in the top 8% for the week and 10% overall on footytips.

No real surprises this week - I've tipped Arsernal away to Manchester City in what should eb the match of the round.  A couple of small bets on Chelsea and Liverpool which I might leave alone, due to the small odds in Chelsea's game and the undertainty around Liverpool.

Team 1	Team 2	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T
Birmingham City	Blackpool	51%	28%	21%
Chelsea	Wolverhampton Wanderers	90%	7%	3%
Liverpool	Blackburn Rovers	68%	20%	12%
Manchester City	Arsenal	34%	31%	36%
Stoke City	Manchester United	12%	21%	67%
Sunderland	Aston Villa	31%	31%	39%
Tottenham Hotspur	Everton	44%	30%	26%
West Bromwich Albion	Fulham	42%	30%	28%
West Ham United	Newcastle United	47%	29%	24%
Wigan Athletic	Bolton Wanderers	39%	30%	31%

A-League 2010-11 Season - Week 11 Predictions

A pretty good week last week, getting 3 results correct - good enough to be in the top 4% for the week and top 3% overall on footytips.  On the betting we broke even, collecting 2 out of 4 bets.

This week's round is back to 5 games, although the 5th game is on a Wednesday.  As usual we tip all home teams - if it ain't broke...

Team 1	Team 2	Venue	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T
Adelaide United	New Zealand	Hindmarsh Stadium	50%	25%	25%
Melbourne Heart	Gold Coast	AAMI Park	44%	26%	30%
Queensland Roar	Melbourne Victory	Suncorp Stadium	41%	26%	33%
Perth Glory	Sydney FC	nib Stadium	43%	26%	31%
Newcastle Jets	North Queensland	EnergyAustralia Stadium	44%	26%	30%

EPL 2010/11 Season - Week 8 Predictions

A pretty good week last week, tipping 6 winners - missing out on the 3 draws and Liverpool's shock loss at home to Blackpool.  Against a footytips average of 4.3 this was good enough for the top 4% of the week.  Unfortunately Liverpool's loss hurt us in the hip pocket as well, though wins to Man City and Chelsea went some way to minimize the damage.

 No real surprises this week, or bets either - except I rate Manchester United a lot better than the bookies do (even though they're only offering $1.30) - so a decent bet on them which should hopefully hold up.

Team 1	Team 2	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T2
Arsenal	Birmingham City	79%	14%	7%
Aston Villa	Chelsea	18%	26%	57%
Blackburn Rovers	Sunderland	53%	27%	20%
Blackpool	Manchester City	23%	28%	49%
Bolton Wanderers	Stoke City	43%	30%	27%
Everton	Liverpool	39%	30%	31%
Fulham	Tottenham Hotspur	34%	31%	36%
Manchester United	West Bromwich Albion	86%	10%	4%
Newcastle United	Wigan Athletic	53%	27%	20%
Wolverhampton Wanderers	West Ham United	43%	30%	27%

A-League 2010-11 Season - Week 10 Predictions

We only managed to tip 2 for the last round, yet strangely enough that was good enough for the top 19% for the week on footytips and means we're still in the top 5% overall.  Our switch to the "away" team for the first time this year proved a hex as Melbourne Heart beat Melbourne victory in the first ever true local derby of the A-League.

No doubt spurned by straying outside the line, we go back to tipping all home teams this week.   We're also betting quite a few games as well, with wagers on North Queensland as always, Victory, Newcastle and the Gold Coast.

Team 1	Team 2	Venue	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T
North Queensland	Perth Glory	Dairy Farmers Stadium	42%	26%	32%
Melbourne Victory	Sydney FC	Etihad Stadium	46%	26%	28%
Queensland Roar	Newcastle Jets	Suncorp Stadium	49%	25%	26%
New Zealand	Melbourne Heart	Westpac Stadium	40%	26%	34%
Gold Coast	Adelaide United	Skilled Park	46%	26%	29%
Queensland Roar	Central Coast Mariners	Suncorp Stadium	43%	26%	31%

EPL 2010/11 Season - Week 7 Predictions

Well, last week was officially the worst week I've had since I started tipping the EPL - managing only 1 from 10 tips correct. When Chelsea, Man Utd, Arsenal and Liverpool all fail to win then you know you're in trouble.  Still, the average on footytips was only 1.6 so it wasn't a complete disaster.

No real surprises this week, all the top teams look to have easy games so with any luck things return to normal this week.

Team 1	Team 2	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T2
Birmingham City	Everton	28%	30%	42%
Chelsea	Arsenal	61%	24%	15%
Liverpool	Blackpool	80%	14%	7%
Manchester City	Newcastle United	69%	20%	11%
Stoke City	Blackburn Rovers	42%	30%	28%
Sunderland	Manchester United	11%	19%	70%
Tottenham Hotspur	Aston Villa	48%	29%	23%
West Bromwich Albion	Bolton Wanderers	48%	29%	24%
West Ham United	Fulham	38%	31%	31%
Wigan Athletic	Wolverhampton Wanderers	42%	30%	28%

A-League 2010-11 Season - Week 9 Predictions

Last week got off to a flyer, tipping the first 3 results correct, then we missed the following 3 due to them being draws.  Small bets on Newcastle and North Queensland failed to get up, but we're still well up for the season so nothing to worry about there.

This round goes back to 5 games, with the Melbourne derby being pushed back a week due to the AFL grand final replay.  This games marks the first game this year I've tipped an away side, although only on a technicality as it's Heart's home game, and we're tipping Victory.

Team 1	Team 2	Venue	Pr T1	Pr Draw	Pr T
Gold Coast	New Zealand	Skilled Park	50%	25%	25%
Central Coast Mariners	North Queensland	Bluetongue Stadium	49%	25%	26%
Perth Glory	Queensland Roar	nib Stadium	44%	26%	30%
Sydney FC	Adelaide United	Sydney Football Stadium	48%	25%	27%
Melbourne Heart	Melbourne Victory	AAMI Park	32%	26%	41%