Friday, October 29, 2010

A-League 2010-11 Season - Week 12 Predictions

In a shortened round we tipped 2 for 4 game, and held our position in the top 3% on footytips.

This week we're again tipping all home teams in an extended round of 7 games, although I've had to make some minor adjustments to the model given that two teams are hosting matches on neutral ground.  So Central Coast at Sydney and Newcastle at Port Macquarie I'm treating as not quite a home team, but definitely not away - since they're expected to have the bulk of the crowd behind them and not have to travel as far as their opponents. 

On the betting front we'll likely be having bets on Victory, Sydney FC and North Queensland.

Team 1Team 2 VenuePr T1Pr Draw Pr T
Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United Etihad Stadium50%25% 26%
Central Coast MarinersPerth Glory Sydney Football Stadium43% 26%31%
Sydney FCQueensland Roar Sydney Football Stadium47% 25%28%
Newcastle JetsMelbourne Heart Port Macquarie38% 26%35%
North QueenslandGold Coast Dairy Farmers Stadium42% 26%32%
New ZealandQueensland Roar Westpac Stadium38%26% 35%
Perth GloryMelbourne Heart nib Stadium45%26% 29%

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