Friday, April 30, 2010

AFL 2010 Season - Round 6 Predictions

Well we finally sorted the kinks out in the model and tipped favourites in every game in Round 5, only to see half of them lose.  Still, as mentioned in last weeks post we had bets on Melbourne and Carlton who both won at generous odds.

This week sees us tipping all favourites again, except for Essendon over Hawthorn which again I'm comfortable to go with.  So it looks like we'll be betting on Essendon and Richmond, who we rate a lot better than their odds suggest.

Team 1Team 2 VenueProb 1Prob 2
Western BulldogsSt Kilda Telstra Dome59%39%
North MelbourneMelbourne Telstra Dome38%61%
AdelaidePort AdelaideAAMI Stadium 42%56%
EssendonHawthornMCG 51%47%
SydneyBrisbaneSCG 65%33%
GeelongRichmondSkilled Stadium 74%24%
CarltonCollingwoodMCG 31%67%
West CoastFremantleSubiaco 30%68%

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