Thursday, February 18, 2010

A-League 2009/10 Season - Finals Week 1 Predictions

Another great week for tipping in the A-League, again getting 4 of the 5 results correct.  We missed out on tipping the Newcastle vs Adelaide game, but we rated Adelaide above the odds so the bet we had on them more than makes up for missing the tip.

So with that we finish the regular season in 81st place overall on footytips, out of the 31,000+ A-Aleague tippers, managing to get just over 49% of the tips correct - which highlights how I've said all along how hard it is to tip correct results, but at least we're doing it better than the vast majority of other tippers.

So onwards to the finals.  As I mentioend in the previous A-League post, the model is built only on regular season games - as such it won't take into account any nuances that occur in finals matches (particularly those played over 2 legs), and in any case they will only predict the result at the end of 90 minutes - not at teh end of extra time.

DateTeam 1 Team 2VenuePr T1 Pr DrawPr T2
16/02/2010 Melbourne Victory Sydney FC Etihad Stadium 47% 26% 28%
20/02/2010 Gold Coast Newcastle Jets Skilled Park 48% 25% 27%
21/02/2010 New Zealand Perth Glory Westpac Stadium 42% 26% 31%

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