Saturday, December 26, 2009

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 19 Predictions

The mid-week predictions have been updated with the results of the weekend round of games

Last week we tipped 5 of the 9 results correctly, with the Wigan vs Bolton game being postponed due to weather. This moves us to up 394th place overall on footytips, out of 26,000 tippers there.

There are two rounds in close succession this week, with one round of games played (English time) Saturday & Sunday, and another from Monday to Wednesday.  Obviously the ratings and results of teams in the mid-week games will change slightly based on what happens over the weekend, however I'll put the predictions for both rounds up now and change the mid-week games after the weekend.

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Pr Home
Pr Draw
Pr Away
26/12/2009
Arsenal
Aston Villa
64%
22%
14%
26/12/2009
Birmingham City
Chelsea
10%
18%
72%
26/12/2009
Burnley
Bolton Wanderers
33%
30%
36%
26/12/2009
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
39%
30%
31%
26/12/2009
Hull City
Manchester United
7%
14%
79%
26/12/2009
Liverpool
Wolverhampton Wanderers
88%
9%
4%
26/12/2009
Manchester City
Stoke City
59%
25%
17%
26/12/2009
Sunderland
Everton
25%
29%
46%
27/12/2009
West Ham United
Portsmouth
49%
28%
23%
27/12/2009
Wigan Athletic
Blackburn Rovers
41%
30%
29%

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Pr Home
Pr Draw
Pr Away
28/12/2009
Blackburn Rovers
Sunderland
53%
27%
20%
28/12/2009
Chelsea
Fulham
80%
13%
7%
28/12/2009
Everton
Burnley
75%
16%
9%
28/12/2009
Stoke City
Birmingham City
44%
29%
26%
28/12/2009
Tottenham Hotspur
West Ham United
61%
23%
16%
28/12/2009
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester City
21%
28%
51%
29/12/2009
Aston Villa
Liverpool
30%
30%
40%
29/12/2009
Bolton Wanderers
Hull City
57%
25%
17%
30/12/2009
Portsmouth
Arsenal
13%
22%
65%
30/12/2009
Manchester United
Wigan Athletic
87%
9%
4%

A-League 2009/10 Season - Round 20 Predictions

We tipped the first 3 games of last round incorrectly then got the next 3 right, so we move into 81st position overall on footytips.  Quite bizzarre as I'm tipping 45% for the season in the A-League, yet I'm higher up the ladder than I am for EPL where I'm tipping 55% - just goes to show how tough it is to get results correct in the A-League.

Back to a normal 5 games this round, with the 5th game being played on Thursday, New Year's Eve.  This week we tip 2 away teams, including Newcastle who have just won 4 games in a row, the first team to do that in the A-League this season - good to see that the model has picked up on this form as it is so hard to come by.

Date
Team 1
Team 2
Venue
Pr T1
Pr Draw
Pr T2
26/12/2009
Gold Coast
Queensland Roar
Skilled Park
40%
26%
32%
26/12/2009
Perth Glory
Newcastle Jets
Members Equity Stadium
36%
27%
37%
27/12/2009
Sydney FC
Adelaide United
Sydney Football Stadium
47%
26%
28%
27/12/2009
North Queensland
Melbourne Victory
Dairy Farmers Stadium
30%
26%
44%
31/12/2009
Central Coast Mariners
New Zealand
Bluetongue Stadium
48%
25%
26%

Friday, December 18, 2009

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 15 Predictions

I actually missed two rounds of posting EPL predictions while away, and it was a mixed bag as far as the tips went - the weekend matches I managed just 1 correct result from 10, however this turned around mid week in tipping 7 from 8.  These results saw us move back into the top 2% overall footytips.

A fairly standard week ahead this week tipping-wise, the away teams we have gone for this week are the big 3 teams playing away, and up-and-coming Tottenham

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Pr Home
Pr Draw
Pr Away
19/12/2009
Arsenal
Hull City
87%
9%
4%
19/12/2009
Aston Villa
Stoke City
66%
21%
13%
19/12/2009
Blackburn Rovers
Tottenham Hotspur
32%
30%
38%
19/12/2009
Everton
Birmingham City
63%
23%
14%
19/12/2009
Fulham
Manchester United
14%
22%
64%
19/12/2009
Manchester City
Sunderland
63%
23%
14%
20/12/2009
Portsmouth
Liverpool
13%
22%
65%
20/12/2009
West Ham United
Chelsea
10%
19%
71%
20/12/2009
Wigan Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
44%
30%
27%
21/12/2009
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Burnley
46%
29%
25%

A-League 2009/10 Season - Round 19 Predictions

Apologies for not putting up tips for the last round of A-League, as it transpired drinking pints of Guinness in Dublin seemed more appealing than updating my free blog. Strangley enough I managed to tip 5 out of the 6 results for round 18 correctly, moving me into 88th position overall (out of 31,000+ tippers) on footytips.  Another decent bet on North Queensland got up as well, as they managed to account for North Queensland at home.

Another 6 matches this round, and that will be the case for the next few rounds.  We've gone back to tipping all home teams this week, let's home some home form starts to come through.

Date
Team 1
Team 2
Venue
Pr T1
Pr Draw
Pr T2
18/12/2009
Adelaide United
New Zealand
Hindmarsh Stadium
50%
25%
25%
19/12/2009
Central Coast Mariners
Queensland Roar
Bluetongue Stadium
40%
27%
34%
19/12/2009
Melbourne Victory
Sydney FC
Telstra Dome
50%
25%
25%
20/12/2009
Newcastle Jets
North Queensland
EnergyAustralia Stadium
43%
26%
30%
20/12/2009
Gold Coast
Perth Glory
Skilled Park
49%
25%
26%
23/12/2009
Sydney FC
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney Football Stadium
46%
26%
28%


Total tips for the season: 41 from 90 (46%)

Friday, December 4, 2009

EPL 2009/10 Season - Week 13 Predictions

Somewhat below average round last week in the EPL, only managing 4 correct results.  Still, this was just above the footytips average of 3.9 and we still sit in the top 3% of all tippers there.

The interesting game of the week would have to be Manchester City hosting Chelsea.  City have drawn 7 games in a row and have so far failed to live up to their pre-season hype - no doubt the probs below will suggest a bet on Chelsea.  This game will test whether City are the real deal - then again, they may be happy to let Chelsea win and make it that little bit easier to win the Premiership over City's bitter cross-town rivals.

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Pr Home
Pr Draw
Pr Away
5/12/2009
Arsenal
Stoke City
80%
14%
7%
5/12/2009
Aston Villa
Hull City
74%
17%
9%
5/12/2009
Blackburn Rovers
Liverpool
16%
24%
61%
5/12/2009
Everton
Tottenham Hotspur
45%
29%
25%
5/12/2009
Fulham
Sunderland
58%
25%
17%
5/12/2009
Manchester City
Chelsea
14%
23%
63%
5/12/2009
Portsmouth
Burnley
48%
28%
23%
5/12/2009
West Ham United
Manchester United
12%
20%
68%
6/12/2009
Wigan Athletic
Birmingham City
46%
29%
25%
6/12/2009
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
40%
30%
30%

Total tips for the season: 75 from 139 (54%)

A-League 2009/10 Season - Round 17 Predictions

A good week last week, tipping 3 of the 5 results correctly and back to the top 1% of all tippers on footytips.  Also a very good week for betting as bets we placed on the last 4 games of the round and they all managed to win, including a handy win for Newcastle over Sydney at odds of $5.50.

This week a big rarity occurs in the we've tipped 2 away teams.  Not much on the betting side this week, a small bet on North Queensland being the only amount of note.

Date
Team 1
Team 2
Venue
Pr T1
Pr Draw
Pr T2
 4/12/2009
New Zealand
Melbourne Victory
Westpac Stadium
 27%
 25%
 48%
 4/12/2009
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
Hindmarsh Stadium
 45%
 26%
 29%
 5/12/2009
Sydney FC
North Queensland
Sydney Football Stadium
 46%
 26%
 29%
 5/12/2009
Gold Coast
Central Coast Mariners
Skilled Park
 42%
 26%
 32%
 6/12/2009
Perth Glory
Queensland Roar
Members Equity Stadium
 35%
 27%
 39%

Total tips for the season: 34 from 79 (43%)