Friday, September 11, 2009

AFL 2009 Season - Finals Week 2 Predictions

We tipped 3 out of the 4 winners in the 1st week of the final - missing out the Western Bulldogs who I rated highly - which is the case again this week, in giving them a 92% chance against Brisbane, and again because of the profile of players selected (we'd still tip them just based on both teams' form alone for what it's worth).  The other game I rated almost a toss of the coin, tipping just in favour of Collingwood.  Any further teams changes would be interesting as this could sway the predicition in Adelaide's favour.

As a said last week I'm not using my predicstions to bet on the finals, primarily because the data I used to build the model is only using games from the home-and-away rounds.

Team 1Team 2 VenuePr 1Pr 2
Western BulldogsBrisbaneMCG  91.7%  7.7% 
CollingwoodAdelaideMCG  49.5%  48.4% 

Total tips for the season: 126 from 180 (70%)
Total tips for finals: 3 from 4 (75%)

No comments:

Post a Comment