Friday, November 27, 2009

A-League 2009/10 Season - Round 16 Predictions

Last week went just as predicted - unfortunately that prediction was that we might get every tip wrong.  If I can diverge into stats for a second, given I'm tipping at 45% accuracy for the season, odds are 5% in any particular round I'll get 0 right - not that high.  But a in a 27-round season there's a 75% chance I'll tip 0 at least once in the season - so we'll just call last week an expected outlier.  We dropped a little in our standings on footytips but still sit within the top 2% of all tippers.

I'm a bit happier with how the tips shape up this week - on form (which as I've mentioned earlier counts for little in the A-League) the home teams really should be the more fancied.  We'll soon find out

Date
Team 1
Team 2
Venue
Pr T1
Pr Draw
Pr T2
27/11/2009
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Bluetongue Stadium
49%
25%
26%
28/11/2009
Melbourne Victory
Gold Coast
Telstra Dome
51%
25%
24%
28/11/2009
North Queensland
Adelaide United
Dairy Farmers Stadium
40%
27%
34%
29/11/2009
Sydney FC
Newcastle Jets
Sydney Football Stadium
49%
25%
26%
29/11/2009
Queensland Roar
New Zealand
Suncorp Stadium
51%
25%
24%

Total tips for the season: 31 from 74 (42%)

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