World Cup Match Predictions - Final and 3rd-Place Playoff

Here are the predictions for the final of the World Cup, along with the 3rd-place playoff.

The model has gone fanatstically well throughout the World Cup - making around 30% ROI for the tournament, and even more if you were smart about which of the group games to bet on.

Probably not a lot of action betting-wise.  The Dutch are slight value as they have been throughout the tournament, so you could do a lot worse then back them to win in the 90 minutes.

Stage	Team 1	Team 2	Pr Team 1	Pr Draw	Pr Team 2
Final	Netherlands	Spain	31.7%	33.9%	34.5%
3rd Place	Uruguay	Germany	18.3%	29.6%	52.1%

World Cup Match Predictions - Semi Finals

The Quarter-finals were another great result for the model - with collects on the wins by Germany, Netherlands and Spain.

So down to the last 4 now, and for the most part the model is in line with the bookmakers.  There may be an opportunity for a small bet on the draw in the Germany - Spain game, but you'll have to shop around to get good odds.

As always remember these predictions are to the end of 90 minutes.

Stage	Team 1	Team 2	Pr Team 1	Pr Draw	Pr Team 2
Semi Finals	Uruguay	Netherlands	14%	26%	59%
Semi Finals	Germany	Spain	28%	33%	38%